Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.523177 0.573905 0.629536 0.695466 0.771986 0.858636 0.965100
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.438248 0.512384 0.601933 0.720220 0.875785 1.078656 1.372795
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.370551 0.453416 0.560878 0.715350 0.940812 1.274748 1.845644
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.334288 0.424921 0.549823 0.743534 1.055754 1.582667 2.668971
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.294840 0.384546 0.513455 0.724544 1.091119 1.778184 3.451561
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.258947 0.343676 0.468984 0.682200 1.073245 1.867955 4.095229
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.230948 0.310760 0.431529 0.643523 1.050475 1.937970 4.777025
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.218766 0.299887 0.426528 0.658698 1.134608 2.289260 6.895873
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.213864 0.299382 0.437740 0.704683 1.297662 2.952300 12.219638
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.202905 0.288010 0.429028 0.710804 1.373636 3.431639 19.168420
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.189292 0.271062 0.408634 0.689850 1.377129 3.677043 26.401928
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.179372 0.259370 0.396274 0.683414 1.416888 4.104613 42.532740
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.170385 0.249098 0.386427 0.683135 1.481813 4.761426 90.580390
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.162865 0.240911 0.379938 0.690237 1.576431 5.753845 355.245004
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.153860 0.229486 0.366208 0.678626 1.611076 6.518204 3161.410763
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.149453 0.225762 0.366905 0.701556 1.774359 8.630804 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.141264 0.214647 0.351827 0.682810 1.781400 9.562409 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.131823 0.200691 0.329887 0.643426 1.696446 9.429302 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.123475 0.188290 0.310245 0.607677 1.616681 9.262741 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.120397 0.185328 0.309610 0.621539 1.744497 12.117824 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.119881 0.187028 0.318769 0.663689 2.024069 19.929035 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.116382 0.182874 0.315072 0.669277 2.140778 26.696657 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.111270 0.175356 0.303473 0.650068 2.122156 29.577519 NaN